Challenges and opportunities coexist in the hottes

2022-10-13
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Machinery industry: challenges and opportunities coexist, and the rebound trend remains unchanged

in 2009, China's machinery industry encountered difficulties such as a significant reduction in orders, difficulties in capital repatriation, an increase in trade frictions and disputes, the uncertainty of exchange rate changes, and the aggravation of the vicious competitive environment in overseas markets. The sharp decline in exports has not been significantly alleviated, but it has been strongly supported by the stabilization and recovery of the domestic economy and a series of policies and measures, The economic operation of the whole industry is still showing a steady upward trend, and has entered the upward channel. Looking forward to 2010, in the face of a more intense and volatile external environment and increasing trade frictions, the structural adjustment of the machinery industry is still arduous, and the industrial security situation is not optimistic

the operation of the industry has rebounded steadily

the growth rate of production and sales has rebounded continuously, showing a steady rebound throughout the year. In 2009, the total industrial output value of the machinery industry was 1022.857 billion yuan, an increase of 14.09% year-on-year. From January to November 2009, the cumulative production and marketing rate of the machinery industry reached 97.33%, and the production and marketing rate increased month by month. In terms of industries, 8 of the 13 key industries showed improvement in production and sales, of which the heavy mining machinery industry and machine tool industry showed the most obvious improvement. The products with rapid output growth are mainly concentrated in agricultural machinery, internal combustion engines, electrical equipment and other industries, including solid waste treatment equipment, wind turbine generator sets, passenger cars, optical cables, agricultural harvesting machinery, etc., with a year-on-year growth rate of more than 50%. Among the 393 mechanical products monitored by the industrial safety database, more than 50% of the product output and sales volume showed an upward trend year-on-year and month on month; The export volume of more than 20% of products showed an upward trend year-on-year and month on month; The export prices of more than 15% of products showed an upward trend year-on-year and month on month; 53.94% of the product sales increased month on month, and 57.51% of the product sales increased year on year

the decline in total import and export volume narrowed, but the trade surplus fell rapidly, and the situation is still grim. From January to November 2009, the total import and export volume of China's machinery industry was US $335.808 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 16.77%. Among them, imports amounted to US $160.707 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 10.42%; Exports reached US $5.101 billion on August 23, 172, a year-on-year decrease of 21.86%; The trade surplus was US $14.395 billion, compared with us $47.669 billion in 2008. Among the export equipment, heavy mining equipment fell by 2.4% year-on-year, while the export volume of other products fell by more than 10%, and construction machinery even fell by 41.39%

industry profits have achieved positive growth, and economic benefits have continued to improve. From January to November 2009, the performance of the machinery industry improved comprehensively, and the profits of all sub industries of the machinery industry achieved positive growth. Among them, the profit of general equipment increased by 16.3%, that of special equipment increased by 23.9%, that of construction machinery increased by 62%, that of construction machinery increased by 61.8%, and that of the railway equipment industry reached 33%. According to the monitoring of the industrial safety database direct reporting system, as of November 2009, among the 393 products mainly monitored in the machinery industry, 47.84% of the products' pre tax profit increased month on month, and 61.32% of the products' pre tax profit increased year on year

Since the financial crisis, the Chinese government has adopted a series of macroeconomic stimulus plans, which have made important contributions to promoting steady economic growth and turning crisis into opportunity. The main measures for the machinery industry to deal with the crisis include:

the introduction of policies and measures such as the "plan for the adjustment and revitalization of equipment manufacturing industry". In response to the impact of the international financial crisis, in February and March 2009, the State Council successively issued the plan for the adjustment and revitalization of the equipment manufacturing industry and the plan for the adjustment and revitalization of the automotive industry. These two plans are to encourage enterprises to turn crisis into opportunity, comprehensively promote scientific and technological innovation and technological transformation, promote the adjustment, optimization and upgrading of industrial structure, and realize the autonomy of the equipment manufacturing industry. The state has also formulated a series of policies and measures, including investment, taxation, government procurement, enterprise merger and reorganization, agricultural machinery, automobiles to the countryside, accelerating the scrapping and renewal of used cars, automobile consumption credit, and promoting the second-hand car market. Due to quick action and heavy sales, the automobile and agricultural machinery industries have benefited significantly. In 2010, we will continue to implement the policy of expanding consumption and relevant measures to solve the difficulties of enterprises and maintain the used car market. By the end of 2009, the production and sales, profits and exports of the main sub industries of the machinery industry have significantly improved. At present, the operation of the industry has entered the upward channel

adjust import and export related policies. Through the flexible adjustment of the import tax policies of major technical equipment and electromechanical import and export policies, the notice on adjusting the import tax policies of major technical equipment was issued, which effectively promoted the recovery of the machinery industry. According to the monitoring of the industrial safety database, the machinery industry has a strong recovery momentum since October 2009, and the export order index has increased significantly compared with the previous month, with an increase of more than 10%

apply the internationally accepted rule dimension 3 in accordance with the law, and let the technology introduce the machine performance to you on the spot to protect the safety of domestic industry. The export of machinery products in China frequently encountered trade frictions, especially the unfair ruling made by the European Union on our carbon steel fasteners, which suppressed our enterprise. Starting from helping the industry maintain industrial safety and curb foreign unfair trade, at the application of the domestic industry, the Ministry of Commerce launched an anti-dumping investigation on the carbon steel fasteners originating in the European Union, effectively curbing its low-cost dumping momentum. Through active consultation and response to the lawsuit, the United States made a negative industrial damage ruling on the double counterclaim of China's standard carbon steel fastener products, safeguarding the legitimate rights and interests of domestic enterprises

the industrial security situation is not optimistic

the market control of foreign-funded enterprises in the machinery industry has been strengthened. From January to November 2009, although the proportion of foreign-funded enterprises decreased, their market control was strengthened, and their position in China's machinery exports was still high. From January to November, the proportion of foreign capital in the total sales value of the machinery industry increased to 33.57%, an increase of 2.07 percentage points over 2007; The proportion of foreign-funded enterprises in the export volume of the machinery industry is still as high as 54.32%

with the strategic adjustment of international machinery industry giants, the export advantage of our traditional low value-added products is gradually losing. It is noteworthy that under the influence of the financial crisis, the international machinery industry giants have adjusted their business strategies, launched products with simplified services and low prices for the middle and low-end markets to increase sales, and began to occupy the middle and low-end product markets. For example, in the field of construction machinery, Komatsu of Japan and caterpillar of the United States have invested and built factories in China, with products covering all grades of high, medium and low; Doosan machinery invested 1billion yuan to build a project with an annual output of 25000 loaders, expanding from high-end excavators to the middle-end loader market

the export trade friction of machinery products is continuous, and foreign cases of export restrictions and sanctions on China's machinery products are frequent. In 2009, the United States, the European Union, India and other eight countries and regions launched 17 trade remedy investigations against China's machinery industry, including 14 anti-dumping, 1 countervailing, 1 safeguard and 1 special safeguard, involving an amount of 1.91 billion US dollars. It should be noted that after a country launches an anti-dumping investigation on a certain product of our country, it is easy for other countries to follow suit

it is expected that the machinery industry will develop steadily in 2010, but the world economic recovery is a slow and tortuous process, and there are still many unstable and uncertain factors in the international and domestic economic development. Although the total demand of the machinery industry has increased steadily, the competition will be more intense due to the excessive growth of the production capacity of the whole industry; The competitive pressure of enterprises continues to increase. With the development of society, the annual production and sales are expected to increase by 153 The tortuous process needs to be carried out in a stable movement, achieving a profit increase of about 10% and an export earnings increase of about 15%. The safety situation of the machinery industry in 2010 is not optimistic. The industry control of foreign capital will be strengthened, and the motivation for mergers and acquisitions of domestic enterprises will be strengthened. The trend that imports of high-end products account for a large proportion will not change. At the same time, the increasing trend of trade frictions caused by foreign restrictions and sanctions on China's machinery exports will not change

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